Author Topic: US Politics/2016 Election Pick Your Poison Master Thread (Read 3832659 times)

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25080 on:** October 10, 2018, 06:33:55 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on October 10, 2018, 06:31:42 PM

I don't think anyone really knows what the exact trigger is. There are obviously many things at play. The FED is surely satisfied with long yields rising, as it gives them more room to raise on the short end without inverting the curve. (I don't think anyone can claim that an inverted curve is a cause for a recession, but it's the most accurate predictor of one, and the masses don't really distinguish between correlation and causation).

The masses will blame Trump.

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25081 on:** October 10, 2018, 08:02:16 PM »

Hope Trump has a good time at his rally while the people of Florida are suffering.

Yammer · « **Reply #25082 on:** October 10, 2018, 08:09:40 PM »

Quote from: elit on October 10, 2018, 02:37:42 PM

link?

Seems like it's in tier 3...not seeing anymore...

Quote from: ExGingi on October 10, 2018, 05:19:39 PM

People spend years and thousands of dollars studying chaos. He thrives on it, and manages it well (as measured by important outcomes).

That's my point, he's definitely not professional..

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 06:33:55 PM

The masses will blame Trump.

Red Mass or Blue Mass?

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 08:02:16 PM

Hope Trump has a good time at his rally while the people of Florida are suffering.

I'm sure he is...(and I hope you are too...

)

gingyguy · « **Reply #25083 on:** October 10, 2018, 09:55:00 PM »

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 08:02:16 PM

Hope Trump has a good time at his rally while the people of Florida are suffering.

did you eat supper tonight , while people in florida are suffering?

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25084 on:** October 10, 2018, 10:05:09 PM »

Quote from: gingyguy on October 10, 2018, 09:55:00 PM

did you eat supper tonight , while people in florida are suffering?

Yes and we talked about them.

gingyguy · « **Reply #25085 on:** October 10, 2018, 10:08:36 PM »

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 10:05:09 PM

Yes and we talked about them.

not sure how that helps them

zh cohen · « **Reply #25086 on:** October 10, 2018, 10:31:24 PM »

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 08:02:16 PM

Hope Trump has a good time at his rally while the people of Florida are suffering.

This argument (and the vacation/golf type) is another example of something that both sides use, and it is always in bad faith.

ilherman · « **Reply #25087 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:14:52 AM »

Finally!

@KolHaolam: WASHINGTON: Mike Pompeo says he denied $165m aid to Palestinians today because they are violating the Taylor Force Act by funding terror.

m.twit...

justaregularguy · « **Reply #25088 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:18:33 AM »

Quote from: ilherman on October 11, 2018, 12:14:52 AM

Finally!

@KolHaolam: WASHINGTON: Mike Pompeo says he denied $165m aid to Palestinians today because they are violating the Taylor Force Act by funding terror.

m.twit...

Good job! I think...I read somewhere the chief of police in isreal says freezing aid will cause more upheaval in gaza etc. etc....
but honestly in the US’s perspective they don’t need to waste money on ppl who don’t wish to work with them. They could find aid from Europe or something

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25089 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:31:13 AM »

Quote from: zh cohen on October 10, 2018, 10:31:24 PM

This argument (and the vacation/golf type) is another example of something that both sides use, and it is always in bad faith.

There is no argument, just fact.

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25090 on:** October 11, 2018, 02:02:27 AM »

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/khashoggi’s-disappearance-puts-kushner’s-bet-on-saudi-crown-prince-at-risk/ar-BBOdmId?ocid=spartanntp

aygart · « **Reply #25091 on:** October 11, 2018, 09:50:01 AM »

https://www.projectveritasaction.com/2018/10/10/we-dont-say-that-out-of-these-walls-phil-bredesens-staff-says-he-is-lying-about-kavanaugh-vote-in-undercover-video-its-a-political-move/

aygart · « **Reply #25092 on:** October 11, 2018, 11:27:54 AM »

https://twitter.com/michaelmalice/status/1050397126612713472

skyguy918 · « **Reply #25093 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:19:08 PM »

Quote from: aygart on October 11, 2018, 11:27:54 AM

https://twitter.com/michaelmalice/status/1050397126612713472

Can't find that on the site anywhere. Closest I could get was to click through each of the toss-up races and add those (based on which way the RCP average of each leans) to the total currently shown (49-44 R). That got me to 51-48 (with one dead heat), which I guess is what he meant?

ExGingi · « **Reply #25094 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:28:38 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on October 10, 2018, 06:31:42 PM

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 10, 2018, 06:15:46 PM
Trump blaming FED for the drop. He better hope this isn't the big one going into the mid-terms.
I don't think anyone really knows what the exact trigger is. There are obviously many things at play.

ETA: See https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-11/the-stock-market-meltdown-that-everyone-saw-coming?srnd=premium

The FED is surely satisfied with long yields rising, as it gives them more room to raise on the short end without inverting the curve. (I don't think anyone can claim that an inverted curve is a cause for a recession, but it's the most accurate predictor of one, and the masses don't really distinguish between correlation and causation).

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on September 26, 2018, 05:19:13 PM
Don't you think inflation is the main concern now?

ETA: See https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-11/u-s-core-inflation-trails-estimates-as-used-car-prices-tumble?srnd=premium

I am convinced that the Fed isn't raising rates due to inflation fears. There are just too many deflationary forces going around. They are just trying to raise as much as they can without disrupting the economy. If history is any indicator, they will overshoot (as they almost always do, in both directions).

avromie7 · « **Reply #25095 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:33:18 PM »

Quote from: skyguy918 on October 11, 2018, 12:19:08 PM

Can't find that on the site anywhere. Closest I could get was to click through each of the toss-up races and add those (based on which way the RCP average of each leans) to the total currently shown (49-44 R). That got me to 51-48 (with one dead heat), which I guess is what he meant?

He means this page
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25096 on:** October 11, 2018, 12:46:51 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on October 11, 2018, 12:28:38 PM

Their goal is 2% inflation. While only slightly higher right now they will continue to keep raising rates to try and keep it there.

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25097 on:** October 11, 2018, 01:16:55 PM »

This Kanye West is off his meds again. Why give this guy a platform?

I actually feel sorry for Trump having to sit there listening to this garbage.

Yammer · « **Reply #25098 on:** October 11, 2018, 01:19:27 PM »

Quote from: ChaimMoskowitz on October 11, 2018, 01:16:55 PM

This Kanye West is off his meds again. Why give this guy a platform?
I actually feel sorry for Trump having to sit there listening to this garbage.

Nobody here..

ChaimMoskowitz · « **Reply #25099 on:** October 11, 2018, 01:22:25 PM »

I-Plane One that runs on hydrogen. Someone please save the president from this nutcase!!!

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Author Topic: US Politics/2016 Election Pick Your Poison Master Thread (Read 3832659 times)