Author Topic: The Future of Lakewood  (Read 553487 times)

Offline jye

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3900 on: November 07, 2023, 08:55:25 PM »

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3901 on: November 07, 2023, 08:55:50 PM »
I'm not a major expert, but I would rather be in Schnall's shoes right now.

60 percent of Monmouth in, but only 2 districts in Lakewood







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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3902 on: November 07, 2023, 09:04:46 PM »
Interesting to see how in Monmouth it's almost all long party lines and in Ocean the exact opposite.

Offline jye

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3903 on: November 07, 2023, 09:05:51 PM »
Regressed to 62% counted?

Offline dealfinder11

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3904 on: November 07, 2023, 09:06:24 PM »
so far the early surprise - and encouraging sign for Schnall - was Monmouth early vote coming in at almost 50/50. Schnall was hoping for a 2/1 loss. One of those early variables that was hard to predict.

Offline torashaman

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3905 on: November 07, 2023, 09:06:33 PM »
im guessing that the difference between keen and thomson is basically guaranteed that its a jewish vote

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3906 on: November 07, 2023, 09:07:14 PM »
Seems more and more likely of a Schnall sweep, but I'm not an expert enough to call it. With 82 percent of Monmouth districts reporting, and only 2 of Lakewood's 43 reporting, Schnall is STILL in the lead!


Offline dealfinder11

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3907 on: November 07, 2023, 09:08:30 PM »
Seems more and more likely of a Schnall sweep, but I'm not an expert enough to call it. With 82 percent of Monmouth districts reporting, and only 2 of Lakewood's 43 reporting, Schnall is STILL in the lead!



Bear in mind - That is 82 percent of counties reporting some votes. Not all their votes. Encouraging but still a long way to go.

Offline ari3

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3908 on: November 07, 2023, 09:09:29 PM »
Interesting to see how in Monmouth it's almost all long party lines and in Ocean the exact opposite.
wouldn't that be expected?

Interesting that in monmouth Schnall has only a few hundred votes less than the other democrat.

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3909 on: November 07, 2023, 09:09:52 PM »
Bear in mind - That is 82 percent of counties reporting some votes. Not all their votes. Encouraging but still a long way to go.
They only report after they finish counting. (Besides for votes that come in the mail tomorrow)

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3910 on: November 07, 2023, 09:09:57 PM »
For some context, what were the total amount of votes for Monmouth and Ocean by the last election?

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3911 on: November 07, 2023, 09:12:39 PM »
For some context, what were the total amount of votes for Monmouth and Ocean by the last election?
In the last Assembly election, the Republicans won with roughly 40,000 votes to the Democrats' roughly 14.5k. That is a surplus of about 25.5k. (I adjusted these numbers based on the new districts, since they were redistricted since last election.) In Lakewood, about 16.5k voters voted Republican. If you flip every one, that is a flip of 33k, much more than the 25.5k needed last time. Obviously, you are not flipping all, but if he flips most, plus a few other factors they are banking on (like getting more Dems to come out since they finally have a chance, and maximizing turnout in Lakewood through all sorts of ways), then he has a serious shot.

Obviously, past performance doesn't guarantee future results, but he definitely seems to have a shot.

Offline aygart

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3912 on: November 07, 2023, 09:19:13 PM »
Also note that the Lakewoood districts reporting are almost all in the senior developments Leisure Village and The Fairways
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline Euclid

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3913 on: November 07, 2023, 09:21:24 PM »
Also note that the Lakewoood districts reporting are almost all in the senior developments Leisure Village and The Fairways
My district voted in a senior development (A Country Place). I don't think it's indicative of anything - they just used the clubhouses as voting facilities

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3914 on: November 07, 2023, 09:23:43 PM »
I am officially calling it. Schnall beat Thomson, and will be our next Assemblyman. Daas Torah triumphed.

Offline jye

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3915 on: November 07, 2023, 09:25:41 PM »

Offline gns

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3916 on: November 07, 2023, 09:25:49 PM »
btw i was the last to vote in the river ave fire station

ps the employees are super nice wow maybe we can get them to the DMV

Offline aygart

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3917 on: November 07, 2023, 09:26:17 PM »
My district voted in a senior development (A Country Place). I don't think it's indicative of anything - they just used the clubhouses as voting facilities

ACP is not its own district. Leisure Village and the Fairways are.

Either way, Schnall is up by about 500 with Monmouth all in so this looks like it won't even be close.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline YitzyS

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3918 on: November 07, 2023, 09:26:46 PM »
Monmouth is at 100 reporting for the precincts in District 30. Only half of Lakewood reported. Schnall is LEADING, which is shocking. That means probably a landslide.

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Re: The Future of Lakewood
« Reply #3919 on: November 07, 2023, 09:28:04 PM »
WOW!