The Future of Lakewood

[YitzyS]

I am officially calling it. Schnall beat Thomson, and will be our next Assemblyman. Daas Torah triumphed.

Seems like someone is stealing their news from DDF...

https://thelakewoodscoop.com/news/breaking-rabbi-avi-schnall-projected-to-win-30th-district-race-in-huge-upset/
ETA: https://lakewoodalerts.com/avi-schnall-wins-lakewood-voters-hoist-agudah-nj-director-to-historic-victory-in-assembly-race/

[YitzyS]

I know I'm early, but it will be significantly more challenging for him to win reelection in 2 years. Next time he is up is a presidential election. Turnout is often double as high, and many just vote straight down the ticket.

[ari3]

I know I'm early, but it will be significantly more challenging for him to win reelection in 2 years. Next time he is up is a presidential election. Turnout is often double as high, and many just vote straight down the ticket.

He will also have a record to run on. That may make it either easier or harder.

[Euclid]

I know I'm early, but it will be significantly more challenging for him to win reelection in 2 years. Next time he is up is a presidential election. Turnout is often double as high, and many just vote straight down the ticket.

from what I understand (that they just need him to champion the tuition bill), he may not need to be in office for more than 1 term

[gns]

from what I understand (that they just need him to champion the tuition bill), he may not need to be in office for more than 1 term

it takes years for too happen at a major level hes not leaving the second he gets something passed

[ari3]

from what I understand (that they just need him to champion the tuition bill), he may not need to be in office for more than 1 term

A freshman assemblyman isn't going to push thru an unpopular tuition bill in his first term if ever. IMHO this whole vote for Avi for tuition relief is one big scam and may have been mainly to drive turnout. I thing there are other reasons to vote for him as having someone from our community representing our interests goes alot further than relying on others.

[jye]

Now up by over 6,000 votes. A blowout indeed.

[shapsam]

A freshman assemblyman isn't going to push thru an unpopular tuition bill in his first term if ever. IMHO this whole vote for Avi for tuition relief is one big scam and may have been mainly to drive turnout. I thing there are other reasons to vote for him as having someone from our community representing our interests goes alot further than relying on others.

Why unpopular? It can be very popular across many demographics. All states that currently have it to whatever degree, didn't pass it for the orthodox Jews.

If there's no significant bill passed (or on the way to be passed) by the next election, that's when he'll have a hard time getting realected.

[miller123]

from what I understand (that they just need him to champion the tuition bill), he may not need to be in office for more than 1 term

The election never falls out on a presidential year as it’s a 2 year term

[ari3]

Why unpopular? It can be very popular across many demographics. All states that currently have it to whatever degree, didn't pass it for the orthodox Jews.

If there's no significant bill passed (or on the way to be passed) by the next election, that's when he'll have a hard time getting realected.

NJ is a democratic state. Democrats generally are anti voucher and anti private school in general

[shapsam]

NJ is a democratic state. Democrats generally are anti voucher and anti private school in general

The last governor race was 51-48%, plenty of room for popularity on a school voucher/tax credit program.

[YitzyS]

All districts reporting (though a few more mail-ins will be added over the next days)

[shapsam]

All districts reporting (though a few more mail-ins will be added over the next days)

I hope he does some outreach over the next two years and try to gain support with his Monmouth constituents.

[ari3]

The last governor race was 51-48%, plenty of room for popularity on a school voucher/tax credit program.

The State senate and legislature are heavily tilted towards the democrats and is going to be more so after today's election.

[YitzyS]

Turnout in Lakewood was about 38.5 percent. (Though that number can still go up a drop based on new ballots)

[jye]

Close to 10,000 vote margin. That’s a really good showing.

[Jellybelly]

How about stopping the robocalls asking you to follow daas torah as well. I didn't need 20 phone calls today on top of the 15 text messages and all the calls for the last week.

Agree! I do think they went overboard
But still sad that they were nervous enough to have to do that

[WayBackMachine]

@YitzyS where is the Lchaim?

[yawn]

@YitzyS where is the Lchaim?

Why not campaign HQ at the old Emporio?

[Jellybelly]

Why not campaign HQ at the old Emporio?

The party is there