Author Topic: Winter Storm Jonas 2016  (Read 8979 times)

Offline aygart

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #20 on: January 21, 2016, 12:19:14 PM »
Understanding weather forecasts for Lakewood is a bit confusing. The National Weather Service organizes its forecasts by county. The current Ocean County blizzard warning is as follows.

Quote
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ020&warncounty=NJC029&firewxzone=NJZ020&local_place1=Lakewood%20NJ&product1=Blizzard+Watch&lat=40.0948&lon=-74.2119#.VqEQ9Fnl-jA
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 14 INCHES POSSIBLE... WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS MAINLY INLAND FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST. SOME SLEET SHOULD MIX IN ALONG WITH SOME RAIN CLOSER TO THE COAST SATURDAY... WHICH WOULD CUT DOWN THE SNOW ACCUMULATION. 
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FRIDAY EVENING... PRIMARILY AFTER THE EVENING COMMUTE... THEN CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE ON SATURDAY.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE COAST. * VISIBILITIES...ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

On the other hand, the Monmouth County warning is this.

Quote
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ013&warncounty=NJC025&firewxzone=NJZ013&local_place1=Howell%20NJ&product1=Blizzard+Watch&lat=40.157&lon=-74.2236#.VqERAVnl-jB
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES POSSIBLE. SOME SLEET AND RAIN COULD MIX IN CLOSER TO THE COAST SATURDAY...WHICH WOULD CUT DOWN THE SNOW ACCUMULATION. 
* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE FRIDAY EVENING AFTER THE EVENING COMMUTE... THEN CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE ON SATURDAY.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

Lakewood is on the border of Ocean and Monmouth Counties so which will be more accurate?

Lets look at a county map of NJ


As you can see, Ocean county goes quite a bit south and is significantly larger than Monmouth. It is also more coast oriented than Monmouth. This would mean that geographically Lakewood is likely more similar to the Monmouth forecast than the Lakewood one. Additionally, the Ocean forecast is for an even more wide ranging area than Ocean County alone. It is for these areas.

Quote
KENT-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...JACKSON...MILLVILLE... HAMMONTON...WHARTON STATE FOREST
This covers the entire southern coastal area of NJ. On the other hand, the Monmouth forecast is for this area alone.
Quote
WESTERN MONMOUTH- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FREEHOLD
This is very specific to the non-coastal areas of Monmouth. This also means that Lakewood should be more comparable to the Monmouth forecast.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline TimT

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #21 on: January 21, 2016, 12:22:16 PM »
Am I nuts to go to lakewood for shabbos if I gotta be back in brooklyn Sunday ?

Offline iderdik

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #22 on: January 21, 2016, 12:28:17 PM »
What are the odds of any flights getting out of JFK on Saturday night?  :(

Offline dealfinder85

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #23 on: January 21, 2016, 12:30:46 PM »
Am I nuts to go to lakewood for shabbos if I gotta be back in brooklyn Sunday ?
yes  ;D
but in all seriousness, sunday morning, sunday night? probably better off playing it safe and not going, but maybe more wiggle room with sunday night

Offline TimT

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #24 on: January 21, 2016, 12:31:46 PM »
What are the odds of any flights getting out of JFK on Saturday night?  :(
Not too high

Offline TimT

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #25 on: January 21, 2016, 12:32:27 PM »
yes  ;D
but in all seriousness, sunday morning, sunday night? probably better off playing it safe and not going, but maybe more wiggle room with sunday night
I'd need to be back morning/early afternoon.

Offline dealfinder85

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #26 on: January 21, 2016, 12:33:48 PM »
I'd need to be back morning/early afternoon.
knowing nothing about weather patterns, probably better to play it safe. why chance it?

Offline elit

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #27 on: January 21, 2016, 12:48:15 PM »
Do i have to worry about a Monday afternoon  flight out of JFK.

Offline MeirS

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #28 on: January 21, 2016, 06:00:41 PM »
it's a cut n paste. That's the way they print these announcements.
I know I know it was a joke, although they make it so difficult to read.

Offline TorontoGuy

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #29 on: January 21, 2016, 06:11:40 PM »

Charge those power banks!! (Thanks @dan for the 20,000 mAh Aukey for $17.99)

Offline moko

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #30 on: January 21, 2016, 08:41:37 PM »
.

Offline ual902

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #31 on: January 21, 2016, 11:21:42 PM »

Offline TimT

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #32 on: January 21, 2016, 11:28:09 PM »
knowing nothing about weather patterns, probably better to play it safe. why chance it?
I was gonna go with some friends but I'm bailing out.

Offline TimT

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #33 on: January 22, 2016, 10:46:08 AM »
There's already lines to fill up at the pump.

Offline Dawie

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #34 on: January 22, 2016, 11:00:05 AM »
Do i have to worry about a Monday afternoon  flight out of JFK.
no

Offline Freddie

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #35 on: January 22, 2016, 11:16:31 AM »
Winter storms don't have names. Enough with that nonsense.

AMEN!

Offline efflpetzel

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #36 on: January 22, 2016, 11:40:31 AM »
Am I nuts to go to lakewood for shabbos if I gotta be back in brooklyn Sunday ?
I'd totally go, you won't have a problem getting to lakewood today & by Sunday afternoon the GSP will be well ploughed & will be empty of traffic.

Just my two cents

Offline ShlockDoc

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #37 on: January 22, 2016, 11:59:04 AM »
Winter storms don't have names. Enough with that nonsense.

Why not?  Why should hurricanes be named and not blizzards? 

Offline Sport

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #38 on: January 22, 2016, 02:09:40 PM »
Wow, supermarkets must love blizzards. People are buying things they would never buy otherwise and in quantities they'll never use!

Offline TorontoGuy

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Re: Winter Storm Jonas 2016
« Reply #39 on: January 22, 2016, 03:22:19 PM »
Snow started in Harrisburg PA!