Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances

[churnbabychurn]

It shows nothing on Trump, because they weren't voting on a person so incredibly hated. They were voting on an idea.

It shows that politicly correctness wins in pols and looses at the ballot box

[shmueli2007]

This whole Brexit shows that people are fed up with establishment something that Trump is campaigning against as well.

[ExGingi]

It shows nothing on Trump, because they weren't voting on a person so incredibly hated. They were voting on an idea.

It might be time to get your head out of the ground, listen to what's going on, maybe read a little, and you will see that Trump is just as much an idea as Brexit, which is why I don't put it beyond at least some Bernie supporters to vote Trump rather than Clinton.

[ExGingi]

This whole Brexit shows that people are fed up with establishment something that Trump is campaigning against as well.

Brexit and Trump can be summed up in 4 words: Rip Up The Script!

[Moshe123]

And the UK is 87% white, while the US is 64% white.

UK would have have been a Remain blowout with our demographics. The US has a lot more Londons.

[ExGingi]

And the UK is 87% white, while the US is 64% white.

UK would have have been a Remain blowout with our demographics. The US has a lot more Londons.

Would have, could have, etc. etc.

Bottom line is that when Trump announced his candidacy, no-one (myself included) believed he would get very far in the primaries, let alone become the (presumptive at this point) nominee. Many things he said during the campaign COULD HAVE and SHOULD HAVE hurt him badly, but did not.

I don't claim to know what will happen. I'm scared of Trump (like anyone is somewhat scared of the unknown UNCHARTED territory - which is exactly where the EU and GB are now). But I always gravitate back to the SCOTUS nominations and say that Hillary is the worse choice IMHO. That being said, being a NY resident, my vote does not count and I don't intend to vote. If I were living in a swing state, I would ask a שאלה.

[JTZ]

That being said, being a NY resident, my vote does not count and I don't intend to vote.

Really dumb thing to say.

[ExGingi]

Really dumb thing to say.

Thanks for the compliment. While it might sound dumb to you, it is simple reality. Even if my entire community would go out and vote as a block one way, it wouldn't make any real difference. It doesn't even make a difference in local elections, even with the D vote split 2 or 3 ways...

[JTZ]

Simple math, every vote counts. With your attitude I am glad you don't vote.

[ExGingi]

Simple math, every vote counts. With your attitude I am glad you don't vote.

You've been drinking the cool-aid.

Electoral math is not something you learned in pre-school, elementary, high school, or any yeshiva system.

[ExGingi]

Back to my OP and the thread subject http://lmgtfy.com/?q=trump+brexit comes up with:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/24/politics/us-election-brexit-donald-trump-hillary-clinton
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/06/21/five-reasons-brexit-signal-trump-white-house/
http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/what-do-the-brexit-movement-and-donald-trump-have-in-common
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/brexit-trump-england-tony-blait-britain-eu-european-union-115918921.html
http://www.forbes.com/sites/aviksaroy/2016/06/24/victory-for-brexit-leave-forces-shows-the-power-of-donald-trumps-message-in-america/#1f5e994b1760

but

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/06/brexit-vote-donald-trump-rise-nationalism-213985

which might be an opposing view but also addressed the subject and OP.

[ExGingi]

Simple math, every vote counts. With your attitude I am glad you don't vote.

And while this guy might sound extreme to you, I suggest you read it with an open mind. And he's not even talking about a situation like mine where I live in a state that is decidedly D, "Progressive" or any other name you would like to call it.

http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/weekend-edition-doug-caseys-top-five-reasons-not-to-vote

[Ydad]

You've been drinking the cool-aid.

Electoral math is not something you learned in pre-school, elementary, high school, or any yeshiva system .

[ExGingi]

You've been drinking the cool-aid.

Electoral math is not something you learned in pre-school, elementary, high school, or any yeshiva system.

As a matter of fact, people coming out of Yeshiva should be smarter than people going to regular schools, and should be able to exercise critical thinking!

[Ydad]

As a matter of fact, people coming out of Yeshiva should be smarter than people going to regular schools, and should be able to exercise critical thinking!

Not the point here, whatever.

[ExGingi]

Not the point here, whatever.

Hey, this is DDF, the beauty of it is that we can veer off topic and off the point 

[JTZ]

As a matter of fact, people coming out of Yeshiva should be smarter than people going to regular schools, and should be able to exercise critical thinking!

You proved that wrong. 

[JTZ]

Electoral math is not something you learned in pre-school, elementary, high school, or any yeshiva system.

So now whole states don't count? Maybe you need to go to a public school and learn the basics.

[good sam]

You proved that wrong. 

Lol. He's not getting it.

[ExGingi]

So now whole states don't count? Maybe you need to go to a public school and learn the basics.

OK Smart guy, why don't you teach me?

If an electorate is decidedly (as in more than 5 percentage points) tilted one way, how would any individual vote count? (and as Doug Casey points out in the link I posted above, in the few cases it does count where the electorate is almost evenly split, it is likely rigged)