Author Topic: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances  (Read 25583 times)

Offline Ydad

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #80 on: June 24, 2016, 01:38:08 PM »
OK Smart guy, why don't you teach me?

If an electorate is decidedly (as in more than 5 percentage points) tilted one way, how would any individual vote count? (and as Doug Casey points out in the link I posted above, in the few cases it does count where the electorate is almost evenly split, it is likely rigged)
What would happen if everyone would read that article and not vote. We would have quite the interesting outcome...

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #81 on: June 24, 2016, 01:59:09 PM »
What would happen if everyone would read that article and not vote. We would have quite the interesting outcome...
Probably much better than the outcomes we've been seeing in recent history  ;D
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Offline ExGingi

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #82 on: December 04, 2016, 06:52:11 PM »
Is this the next shoe to drop:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/the-latest-berlusconi-votes-in-italy-planned-to-vote-no/2016/12/04/9a59d116-ba09-11e6-ae79-bec72d34f8c9_story.html

This can be viewed differently than Brexit or US 2016 Election, as it is actually a referendum on major political change brought forth by an establishment politician. The potential fallout of a NO outcome is extremely unclear.

I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #83 on: January 13, 2017, 09:10:39 AM »
Here's another indication of the correlation.

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-01-13/davos-wonders-if-it-s-part-of-the-problem

I guess if one wants to be successful at betting, one needs to figure out what the consensus is at Davos, and bet against it.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #84 on: June 18, 2017, 06:47:49 PM »
WOW.

This is another shoe that IINM no-one expected would drop. Not only did Macron take the presidency, but it seems like he has in own majority (though from what I read in advance, I'm surprised there were even that many candidates in his party) in the French parliament.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-election-unions-analysis-idUSKBN19910U?il=0
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Offline ChaimMoskowitz

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #88 on: December 09, 2018, 12:12:59 PM »
Where does it all end?
With extremist in power and minorities running for the hills?
I just found a new supply of forks!

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Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline ChaimMoskowitz

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #90 on: December 09, 2018, 12:32:58 PM »
These movements have almost always come along with bigotry
...and only get worse.
I just found a new supply of forks!

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #91 on: January 15, 2019, 09:31:38 PM »
I started this thread pondering whether the Brexit vote signifies the beginning of a certain global phenomenon.

It seems clear to me that it was indeed just the first in a wave of upheavals rooted in frustration over inequality.

Those upheavals are starting (well not really starting) to look like they were not so thoroughly thought through (to say the least).

What's next after the Brexit deal defeat?
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #92 on: February 26, 2019, 06:57:47 AM »
As the Brexit situation keeps on evolving, a breathtaking change seems to be taking place elsewhere.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-02-26/italy-s-populist-insurgents-five-star-are-collapsing?srnd=premium
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #94 on: October 28, 2019, 02:04:42 AM »
And now Argentina is back to Peronism (and seems to be on steroids with the election winner trying to intervene with other regional powers even before taking

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-10-28/argentina-president-elect-calls-for-brazil-s-lula-to-be-freed?srnd=premium
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #95 on: December 10, 2019, 12:09:52 PM »
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50717536

Interesting they are asking the same question I asked just a few years ago.
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #96 on: December 12, 2019, 05:03:59 PM »
Exit polls looking good for Johnson.

@CountValentine, expect a similar outcome here next November (though for some reason the colors are inverted).
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #97 on: December 12, 2019, 05:05:16 PM »
@CountValentine, expect a similar outcome here next November (though for some reason the colors are inverted).
I see myself spending a lot of time in MBJ then.  >:( >:( >:(
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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #98 on: December 15, 2019, 11:16:49 AM »
I see myself spending a lot of time in MBJ then.  >:( >:( >:(

It just crossed my mind over the weekend, that since Boris Johnson was born in the US, he might be an excellent followup to Trump in this country in 2024.

In the meantime, here's a sore loser:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/corbyn-faces-backlash-insisting-we-21102085
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances
« Reply #99 on: December 15, 2019, 11:18:44 AM »
It just crossed my mind over the weekend, that since Boris Johnson was born in the US, he might be an excellent followup to Trump in this country in 2024.
I have not been following the guy. Is he like Trump but without the lies and SCUMBAG baggage?
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