Author Topic: If I Loaned You $250,000?  (Read 3446 times)

Offline GTR

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If I Loaned You $250,000?
« on: October 13, 2016, 02:10:23 PM »
If I loaned you $250,000 today and gave you two repayment options:

1. 60 monthly payments of $4,375.
2. 300 monthly payments of $800 followed by a single payment of $189,000.

Which would you choose?  Why?

Offline JTZ

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 02:12:22 PM »
300 x 800 because after the first payment I would skip town
"LESS IS MORE" It is the cumulative effect that kills deals!!! How many times do I have to say this?  >:(

Offline 12HRS

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2016, 02:13:15 PM »
300 x 800 because after the first payment I would skip town

why not skip town before the first payment...

Offline GTR

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2016, 02:18:17 PM »
Cause if you skip before the first payment, they're equal!

Offline mmgfarb

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2016, 02:19:18 PM »
Cause if you skip before the first payment, they're equal!
How do you figure?
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Offline yitrap

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2016, 02:19:46 PM »
Looking to lend?

Offline 12HRS

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2016, 02:20:23 PM »
Cause if you skip before the first payment, they're equal!

fair point

Offline mmgfarb

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2016, 02:23:22 PM »
"JS [is] a fetid cesspool of unvarnished linguistic manure, with lots of useless drivel and post-padding." -Moishebatchy

Offline mmgfarb

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2016, 02:27:09 PM »
0=0
Yea I figured it out, see the previous post
"JS [is] a fetid cesspool of unvarnished linguistic manure, with lots of useless drivel and post-padding." -Moishebatchy

Offline coralsnake

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2016, 02:28:07 PM »
If I loaned you $250,000 today and gave you two repayment options:

1. 60 monthly payments of $4,375.
2. 300 monthly payments of $800 followed by a single payment of $189,000.

Which would you choose?  Why?
The question expects the reader to choose the seemingly lesser expensive first option since that is the lower total dollar amount of all payments.

But with 25 years to payback $189,000 and an annual $9600 "rent" on the loan this is in fact the much better option for a variety of reasons. Even the safest investments will guarantee payback with the rest to do whatever with.
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Offline grodnoking

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2016, 02:40:34 PM »
Option two. Even on minimum interest I'll still make a profit.
I'm not who you think I am.

Offline mmgfarb

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2016, 02:41:46 PM »
I think everyone would pick option 2 (JTZ excluded of course) what's the purpose of the question?
"JS [is] a fetid cesspool of unvarnished linguistic manure, with lots of useless drivel and post-padding." -Moishebatchy

Offline good sam

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2016, 02:54:14 PM »
I think everyone would pick option 2 (JTZ excluded of course) what's the purpose of the question?
Everyone would choose option 2? Where would you get the $189,000 lump sum from?

I would choose option 1,

UNLESS, the loan is secured by real property or a performing business, in which case lower monthly payments increase my monthly cash flow and I can reasonably expect to refinance after 30 months.
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Offline mmgfarb

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2016, 02:57:59 PM »
Everyone would choose option 2? Where would you get the $189,000 lump sum from?

I would choose option 1,

UNLESS, the loan is secured by real property or a performing business, in which case lower monthly payments increase my monthly cash flow and I can reasonably expect to refinance after 30 months.
Where would you get the $4,300?
"JS [is] a fetid cesspool of unvarnished linguistic manure, with lots of useless drivel and post-padding." -Moishebatchy

Offline GTR

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2016, 03:17:25 PM »
Lotsa smart people on this very forum would choose option 1.  I am not one of them, give me option 2 all day.

Just checking my sanity here.  Thanks all.

Offline Aaaron

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2016, 03:23:30 PM »
Everyone would choose option 2? Where would you get the $189,000 lump sum from?

I would choose option 1,

UNLESS, the loan is secured by real property or a performing business, in which case lower monthly payments increase my monthly cash flow and I can reasonably expect to refinance after 30 months.

Toss $350/month into some safe investment that earns an avg of 4.5% over the next 25 years, and boom, you have the ~189k.

Or with $500/month you only need to average 2% year over year.

Offline Mountain Man

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2016, 04:13:56 PM »
If I loaned you $250,000 today and gave you two repayment options:

1. 60 monthly payments of $4,375.
2. 300 monthly payments of $800 followed by a single payment of $189,000.

Which would you choose?  Why?

I think it depends on what you're required ROR is.

Option 1 has an IRR of 1.95% and option 2 has an IRR of 3.24% but option 2 is 20 years longer and has a huge lump sum at the end of the payments which would make me concerned about the credit risk. If you got rid of the last $189,000 due 300 months from now you would actually have a negative IRR.

I'd be inclined to choose option 1.
Quote from: JTZ link=topic=10531.msg1695873
If you never had to eat crow then you lived one boring life.

Offline JTZ

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2016, 04:16:11 PM »
Toss $350/month into some safe investment that earns an avg of 4.5% over the next 25 years, and boom, you have the ~189k.
Describe "safe".
"LESS IS MORE" It is the cumulative effect that kills deals!!! How many times do I have to say this?  >:(

Offline Mountain Man

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2016, 04:20:49 PM »
Describe "safe".
Yeah, I think you'd be very hard pressed to find anything "safe" in an environment of negative yields and 30 year treasuries yielding 2.5%. But I'd love to learn something new.
Quote from: JTZ link=topic=10531.msg1695873
If you never had to eat crow then you lived one boring life.

Offline emjee

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Re: If I Loaned You $250,000?
« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2016, 06:36:00 PM »
Option two. Even on minimum interest I'll still make a profit.
+1