Also, I wonder if the retrofit will see 3-4-3 in econ ala united.
Also, curious that LY bought so many 787 in the first place instead of mixing in some 777 next generation. Is it just for marketing, or is there an actual business gain from using smaller planes from these markets (EWR, lax etc)?
They will probably add frequency on routes like JFK in exchange for 747s and that will give them a BIG advantage over the competition. It's been that way until today and they're almost always full, so adding even more frequency won't due them much harm....
My guess is that the will up the lowest business to around $3500 and put PE at the mid $2k (Compared to AC)
Yes. I disagree. Because they don't have first class anymore (which started at $6k+) they are likely to average out the price between the 2 cabins. They need to make up for the loss (though, I would note, that a very small percentage of F seats were sold out, and a large portion of those sold were for miles). Inventory change is not an issue, because they will be retrofitting their 777s in the near future. You need to realize, that since there are different fare classes currently in place on the 787, it's ok to charge different than on the the 777/747. If they sell 787 J for $3k, then what will they sell PE for, $1200? That's economy price. You don't have that fare class setup on the 777 (until they retrofit). It's no comparison to the UA 757 EWR - LAX or UA 84/90 where the cabins and fare classes stayed the same.
Standard price for J was always $3500 besides for ex-TLV on the day flights
In any case the fact that F is gone still doesn't answer why J class out of EWR should price differently than JFK. Heck until now JFK had the much nicer 744 and they knew that people routinely paid a lot more to e on that flight and still they understood that J class should have the same price.
>FQDNYCTLV/ALY/IL/D4DEC17*4JAN17/CJFQDNYCTLV/ALY/IL/D4DEC17*4JAN17/CJ ROE 1.000000 NEAREST 1.00 USD 04DEC17*04JAN18/LY NYCTLV/NLX;AT/TPM 5659/MPM 6812 ** FOR LY UPGRADE INFO SEE INFO NOTE LY/0310 ** LN FARE BASIS OW USD RT B PEN DATES/DAYS AP MIN MAX R 01 JSAPNYC 2418 J @ S20OCT 23MAR@21@SU@ 12M M 02 JIPUS 2920 J @ - - @ - SU@ 12M M 03 JUSIL 3489 J @ - - @ - SU@ 12M R >FQN1*FLFL.FLT APPLICATION OUTBOUND - THE FARE COMPONENT MUST BE ON ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING LY FLIGHT 002 LY FLIGHT 004 LY FLIGHT 008 LY FLIGHT 014 LY FLIGHT 022. AND - INBOUND - THE FARE COMPONENT MUST BE ON ONE OR MORE OF THE FOLLOWING LY FLIGHT 001 LY FLIGHT 003 LY FLIGHT 007 LY FLIGHT 011 LY FLIGHT 021.
http://www.ynet.co.il/articles/0,7340,L-4974881,00.html
or see UA speed up delivery on the 2nd new 777 for the route.
Please, Al tiftach peh....(Most people still fly Y. To prove it, count the seats....)
My guess that the winter $3k price will go up to $3500 and the summer from $3500 to over $4000