https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-11/-150-billion-misfire-how-forecasters-got-irma-damage-so-wrong
The real loss is to work and business, people left wednesday and wont be back till later this week. probably a few hundred thousand missed a week of work if not a million
And some of them will return to find their stores emptied out by feral animals.
Probably a blessing to get the insurance payout.
...but parts of Florida it was a direct hit. All I am saying is give it to us straight. If next month they say the same thing I can guarantee you a lot less will evacuate.
A few times, Waze predicted there would be heavy traffic on my way to Philly, but there was only light traffic. So next time I went there for Shabbos, I gave myself only 2.5 hours to get there even though Waze said 3. Makes sense?
(so much so that Rabbi Meisels from SeaGate Paskened that if you don't leave before Shabbos you won't be allowed on to a rescue boat, since it's your fault and you should have evacuated!
Are you comparing a short drive to evacuating a family and leaving your home to the mercy of looters? As someone mentioned before, Irene was supposed to be a massive hurricane (don't remember the category), it "hit" Friday night, everybody in SeaGate evacuated (so much so that Rabbi Meisels from SeaGate Paskened that if you don't leave before Shabbos you won't be allowed on to a rescue boat, since it's your fault and you should have evacuated! - CM, no need to blow this up into anything...), and it ended up being a bust. What do you think happened when Sandy came???
Really? Did he mean that as a final psak or to make a point? If he would have been asked on shabbos by someone who didn't would he have told them the same?
The comparison is that even though previous predictions ended up being less accurate, doesn't mean you should do something risky the next time.
Probably more to make a point. I wasn't expecting you to nitpick on that part
Why do I think there is more to the story?http://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/oak-brook/news/ct-dob-hurricane-vehicle-stolen-tl-0914-20170912-story.html
The news was full of heavy scary words like catastrophic, deadly, devastating.I dont think it would have killed many in a direct hit but yes it would be damaging, how does evacuating help
The biggest killer is storm surge. Water can rise 15-20ft if not more and completely flood coastal cities and towns. The evacuation is so that people don't drown or get stranded. They also evacuate mobile homes, as they are the first to go. If you see some of the images from the keys, lots of mobile homes were completely blown around.
