Author Topic: Forex, futures and stocks trading  (Read 80101 times)

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #100 on: July 02, 2019, 07:08:22 PM »
I think I might just buy some SPY puts. The combination of my contrarian interest rate bet, along with the overbought situation you're describing, make this sound like a decent strategy.
I might be joining in on the first signs of trouble :)
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #101 on: July 02, 2019, 07:12:08 PM »
@ludmila where do you set your stops (non-trailing)? Fixed %, or where your theory for entering is invalidated?
I use pivot points on daily and or 4 hour charts chart as my stops. Once it is hit I am out , no hesitation.
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Offline LoLo

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Aug 2014
  • Posts: 3772
  • Total likes: 197
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #102 on: July 02, 2019, 07:13:03 PM »
Hit as in a wick or candle close?

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #103 on: July 02, 2019, 07:35:44 PM »
Hit as in a wick or candle close?This way I do not think or hesitate.
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Online CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 15788
  • Total likes: 7316
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #104 on: July 02, 2019, 07:52:36 PM »
Gold was up over $30 today again, looks like the smart money is accumulating Gold , knowing something is about to happen that the public is not aware off. I am still long half my Gold position, I missed on adding more yesterday.
That was a really strong move after yesterday.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #105 on: July 02, 2019, 07:58:49 PM »
That was a really strong move after yesterday.
Correct, previous times it reached newer highs it sold off pretty fast and big, this time it looks much stronger, the next small resistance is around $1470. Yesterday tricked me, I was going to add to my position but it had a weak close.
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Online CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 15788
  • Total likes: 7316
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #106 on: July 02, 2019, 08:05:03 PM »
Don't know how much more I can add since I deal in physical. Probably just ride this out. I can lock in a price at any time with a hedge. A couple of GC contracts cost peanuts to trade.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #107 on: July 05, 2019, 09:30:52 AM »
This morning on Bloomberg.com:

Quote
U.S. stock futures fell to session lows and Treasury yields rose with the dollar after the Junes hiring report topped estimates, clouding the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Futures on the S&P 500 retreated after hiring rebounded in June in a sign of labor-market strength that may ease calls for a rate cut. The 10-year Treasury yield retook 2% and two-year rates hit 1.80%. The dollar surged versus major peers. Gold dropped below $1,400 an ounce.

The latest jobs report delivered signs that the economy remains on track, countering some recent data that showed weakness in manufacturing. Stocks rallied to records and bonds surged on market expectations that the central bank will lower interest rates by at least a quarter percentage point at its July meeting, though fed fund futures showed traders trimming the amount of easing they expect.

“It looks like a rate cuts are off the table,” Torsten Slok, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist told Bloomberg TV. “I mean, 224 and unemployment going up for quote-unquote the right reasons -- it’s a really, really strong report across the board. It’s just very difficult to find any signs of the trade war, at least on the first go with this.”

Oh how fast does sentiment make a U turn.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline myi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 20K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Feb 2015
  • Posts: 23540
  • Total likes: 2427
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 356
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: InMyPants! 🙈
  • Programs: 2Many2List!
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #108 on: July 09, 2019, 03:59:23 AM »
The problem is I trade short term, if you are in for longer term you might still see higher prices, as you said, BTC moves like crazy, scary!! :)
And now back at 13k again. Thinking to pull out now and take the profit and reinvest when it drops.
Quote
Need your LG Exalt fixed? Cracked in half? Water damage? Or parts to repair yourself. 347.201.2501

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #109 on: July 16, 2019, 12:52:34 PM »
Seen today on Bloomberg.com



What am I missing? How does it make sense that US 10-year yields are higher than UK with the Brexit uncertainty (on top of European economic slowdown even without Brexit)?
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 15788
  • Total likes: 7316
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #110 on: July 18, 2019, 05:15:25 PM »
Correct, previous times it reached newer highs it sold off pretty fast and big, this time it looks much stronger, the next small resistance is around $1470. Yesterday tricked me, I was going to add to my position but it had a weak close.
Tested tomorrow then pullback?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 15788
  • Total likes: 7316
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #114 on: August 04, 2019, 11:26:02 PM »
The S&P is currently down 35 handles-points-. Gold is making a new high right now at $1456, from the pms I am only long gold now, and short stocks, I am watching palladium, platinum and silver here to see if Ill buy here.  Stocks are very scary for those long, does not look good.
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #115 on: August 07, 2019, 04:55:55 AM »
Gold just hit $1491 , there is no more resistance left till $1800, watching how it will react at $1500, if it will back off and have a small correction, or take the $1500 fast and keep going.
I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #116 on: August 07, 2019, 12:03:25 PM »
Gold just hit $1491 , there is no more resistance left till $1800, watching how it will react at $1500, if it will back off and have a small correction, or take the $1500 fast and keep going.

And while we're at it, let's also look at TLT and/or ZROZ.

What do you see at resistance / trading points for those?
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline ludmila

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Aug 2012
  • Posts: 5147
  • Total likes: 271
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: IND
  • Programs: Hilton Diamond,Marriott Platinum,SPG Platinum.
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #117 on: August 08, 2019, 02:46:02 AM »
What do you see at resistance / trading points for those?
TLT resistance $143.62 and after it no more resistance. ZROZ $143.05 and this is the only resistance now.

Gold shot past $1500 to $1510 , no sell off, it is at $1502 now, silver shot higher and closed above $17 for the fist time in a year, currently
$17.13 , next resistance $17.35 and $17.70.

I was the Best,still the Best, and will always be the Best.
Pele Good,Maradona Better, George Best.

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 15620
  • Total likes: 7712
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 19
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
  • Programs: בשורת הגאולה. From Exile to Redemption. GIYF. AAdvantage Executive Platinum®
Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #119 on: August 14, 2019, 12:24:40 PM »
TLT resistance $143.62 and after it no more resistance. ZROZ $143.05 and this is the only resistance now.

Wow. Blew right through that this morning.  In the longer term I don't know what might stop it until US rates go negative. The question is if there's money to be made in the interim while riding it up?
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan