Author Topic: Forex, futures and stocks trading  (Read 22214 times)

Online CountValentine

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #150 on: August 28, 2019, 09:35:03 PM »
Panic? How about a smart move.
Possible but the way they flip flopped on payroll tax cut every day (even in the same day) it looks like panic.
You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

Offline ExGingi

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #151 on: August 28, 2019, 09:48:20 PM »
Possible but the way they flip flopped on payroll tax cut every day (even in the same day) it looks like panic.

That was just plain old noise. Was never serious.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #152 on: August 28, 2019, 10:04:09 PM »
That was just plain old noise. Was never serious.
You can't explain everything away with just saying it is noise. It was a stupid panic move and that was why none of them were on the same page.
You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #153 on: August 28, 2019, 10:11:18 PM »
You can't explain everything away with just saying it is noise. It was a stupid panic move and that was why none of them were on the same page.

Let's leave that discussion for the politics thread.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #154 on: August 28, 2019, 10:43:50 PM »
Let's leave that discussion for the politics thread.
This is about the economy. You can't be saying stupid stuff that has the market on edge and say it is just noise. If you feel that is political then will just leave it at that.
You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

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I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline HKFS

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #156 on: November 15, 2019, 08:09:37 AM »
Can anyone recommend a broker for forex trading?

Offline chief_mag

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #157 on: November 25, 2019, 02:09:32 PM »
Any recommendations on reading/watching/studying material for someone who wants to get into this stuff?
« Last Edit: November 25, 2019, 02:21:57 PM by chief_mag »

Offline Scmcodes

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #158 on: November 28, 2019, 10:59:26 PM »
Any recommendations on reading/watching/studying material for someone who wants to get into this stuff?

yes Pm me

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I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #161 on: January 06, 2020, 05:10:03 PM »
"Without a further escalation of Middle East tensions..."

Timing and intensity of which is anyone's guess.

The point of the article is looking at the overbought situation, and the likely price action in the NEAR FUTURE, absent an immediate event that could change everything.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #162 on: March 01, 2020, 03:57:44 PM »
I didn't expect what we are currently seeing when I wrote that I believe US Treasuries are heading towards negative rates. I thought it would be more gradual. TLT and ZROZ are on a tear.

I might be wrong, but the way things are shaping up I would guess that the 10yr bond would go below 1.00% by the end of this week. 30 year bond will take a little longer to get to sub 1%, but I think it's on the horizon. At what point will the 10yr bond go to 0% or negative? Will the 30yr bond get there? Will we see massive scale refunding once rates go negative? It would save the US quite a bit in interest payments.

Bought some DUST on Friday to protect Gold related holdings.

I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #163 on: March 03, 2020, 03:41:18 PM »
I didn't expect what we are currently seeing when I wrote that I believe US Treasuries are heading towards negative rates. I thought it would be more gradual. TLT and ZROZ are on a tear.

I might be wrong, but the way things are shaping up I would guess that the 10yr bond would go below 1.00% by the end of this week. 30 year bond will take a little longer to get to sub 1%, but I think it's on the horizon. At what point will the 10yr bond go to 0% or negative? Will the 30yr bond get there? Will we see massive scale refunding once rates go negative? It would save the US quite a bit in interest payments.

Bought some DUST on Friday to protect Gold related holdings.


And while rates are dropping across the curve, to my unprofessional eye it seems like the 10-30 segment of the yield curve is steepening.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

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Re: Forex, futures and stocks trading
« Reply #164 on: March 06, 2020, 02:05:38 PM »
Crazy moves in US Treasuries over the last 24 hours. I've had conviction that rates are heading much lower, but I guess I didn't have the guts to put more money into it than I did.

I'm now trying to think of it in actual number terms.

Here's where the 30 yr bond is now (source: Marketwatch.com):


Here are where some other sovereigns are:


So now I can plug in my numbers here and get to a price target.

If I think the yield is going to match the UK, so my price target is 136 1/32 for a ~16.25% upside.


If I think we match France, then my price target is $146 18/32 for a ~25.25% upside


If I think we're going to 0% yield then my price target is $160 for a ~36.75% upside.

Etc.

With significant gains already in, do I just pull the trigger on some more, or wait for a pullback. Do I go all in and get a leveraged ETF?
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan