Talk about being totally dishonest. Some things never change.
All I am doing is picking up where CM left off. Just read the first page of this thread. It is about the Kool-Aid drinkers not backing up what they say. It is about the polls being right, not wrong.
You may have forgotten that the same polls predicted a landslide HRC victory in 16. Some members here have in fact bet against those polls and won nicely. They believed in their hunch, took a risk, and got rewarded for it. That’s PUOSU. If you believe the polls are always right then PUOSU. If you have 100% confidence in the polls, betting on market-rate odds is easy guaranteed money. 538 has Biden at 87% chance to win while the market is at 65%. Beautiful arbitrage opportunity for people who solely rely on polls. The rest of us don’t have 100% confidence in polls, and enough Trump voters believe that to bet on odds 3x higher than his polling odds.
And before you make this about me, I definitely don’t have full confidence that Trump wins this election, but I do have more confidence than 13% chances.