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Author Topic: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.  (Read 49293 times)

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #240 on: October 25, 2020, 05:18:22 PM »
You keep moving the goalposts. It's either about who wins (offered you a bet there), or about the polls being right (offered a bet on that, too), or about nothing concrete other than proving Kool-Aid drinkers are full of it. Do you go to The Helen Keller School and challenge them to a game of Pin the Tail on the Donkey?
Not sure what you are talking about. I already said I would take bets on any poll outside the margin of error no matter who it was on.
The goalposts have never moved. All I hear is noise!!!
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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #241 on: October 25, 2020, 05:19:47 PM »
Not sure what you are talking about. I already said I would take bets on any poll outside the margin of error no matter who it was on.
The goalposts have never moved. All I hear is noise!!!
Wait a second... this isn't about who wins? So let's make a bet about whether the polls are accurate. I'll spot you 5 points. Even odds. Pick the poll you like.

....?
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #242 on: October 25, 2020, 05:21:15 PM »
....?
Just more noise from you. Spot 5 points on what?
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Offline Lurker

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #243 on: October 25, 2020, 05:23:02 PM »
Just more noise from you. Spot 5 points on what?

Poll accuracy. If Biden gets within 5 points of what the poll predicts, you win.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #244 on: October 25, 2020, 05:26:26 PM »
Poll accuracy. If Biden gets within 5 points of what the poll predicts, you win.
Talk about moving the goalpost, ROFLMAO!!!
Please learn how betting works before you start this non-sense.
It does not matter if a candidate wins by 1% or 50%. If the poll predicted that candidate then they got it right.
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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #245 on: October 25, 2020, 05:47:29 PM »
Talk about moving the goalpost, ROFLMAO!!!
Please learn how betting works before you start this non-sense.
It does not matter if a candidate wins by 1% or 50%. If the poll predicted that candidate then they got it right.

Let me see if I got this straight...

  • The bet is not about who wins, it's about if the polls are right
  • The polls are right if they get the winner right, but it doesn't matter if they predicted he would get 90% and he only gets 55%
  • You have no idea who will win, but you're certain the polls are right, but only on the winner and not on the exact percentages
  • I should learn how betting works, but you're giving straight odds on an odds-on landslide bet

I'm sure this makes sense somehow, but I'm not understanding it.
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Offline aygart

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #246 on: October 25, 2020, 05:52:35 PM »
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #247 on: October 25, 2020, 05:58:01 PM »
Let me see if I got this straight...

  • The bet is not about who wins, it's about if the polls are right
  • The polls are right if they get the winner right, but it doesn't matter if they predicted he would get 90% and he only gets 55%
  • You have no idea who will win, but you're certain the polls are right, but only on the winner and not on the exact percentages
  • I should learn how betting works, but you're giving straight odds on an odds-on landslide bet

I'm sure this makes sense somehow, but I'm not understanding it.
Correct of first two. Third one, I am not certain of anything.

On the forth one I am giving a straight up bet. What bet is an odds-on landslide bet?

Now if you want to bet on the accuracy of how close to a winning/losing percentage they are then start your own thread. This isn't the thread for it.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #248 on: October 25, 2020, 06:00:33 PM »
Do we need a 101 on betting?  :)
One guy thinks it is about accuracy and another guy thinks Trump is +240.
For the record the official line is Biden -200. Now using simple math can you see why Trump can't be +240?
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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #249 on: October 25, 2020, 06:01:28 PM »
Correct of first two. Third one, I am not certain of anything.

On the forth one I am giving a straight up bet. What bet is an odds-on landslide bet?

Now if you want to bet on the accuracy of how close to a winning/losing percentage they are then start your own thread. This isn't the thread for it.

So a poll isn't about getting an accurate representation of how people will vote? How does being off by 35% percentage points make a poll right?
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #250 on: October 25, 2020, 06:01:47 PM »
About what?
You tell me. You are the one who came out of nowhere to pull a Trump and pour fuel on the fire.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #251 on: October 25, 2020, 06:05:12 PM »
So a poll isn't about getting an accurate representation of how people will vote? How does being off by 35% percentage points make a poll right?
I explained polls vs betting odds already.
Start a thread for betting 101 and if I have some extra time I will join in.
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Offline Lurker

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #252 on: October 25, 2020, 06:10:39 PM »
I explained polls vs betting odds already.
Start a thread for betting 101 and if I have some extra time I will join in.

Forget betting. Teach me about polls.
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Online Yo ssi

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #253 on: October 25, 2020, 06:18:44 PM »
[sniff] [sniff] I smell a 🔥
_    ,
' )  /
 /  / __   _   _   o
(__/_(_)  /_)_/_)_<_
 //
(/

Offline bestwatchman

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #254 on: October 25, 2020, 06:26:39 PM »
It would have gained favor in the summer or any other time. Publicizing it 10 days before an election does nothing but hurt us. You think this is even a blip on Trump's radar right now? This does nothing for him.
more than a blip. He just tweeted it


Offline Lurker

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #255 on: October 25, 2020, 06:38:07 PM »
more than a blip. He just tweeted it

Just saw that. I'm not sure that "Thank you" makes it more than a blip, but it makes it worse for us, either way.
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Offline Kobe Bryant

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #256 on: October 25, 2020, 06:51:58 PM »
more than a blip. He just tweeted it

Repost.

Offline yesitsme

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #257 on: October 25, 2020, 07:26:58 PM »
When the President was admitted to the hospital with covid he called RMM for a blessing, he takes these things to heart, [unlike Cuomo]
["-"]

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #258 on: October 25, 2020, 07:45:36 PM »
When the President was admitted to the hospital with covid he called RMM for a blessing, he takes these things to heart, [unlike Cuomo]
RMM?
#TYH

Offline yesitsme

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #259 on: October 25, 2020, 07:53:58 PM »
["-"]