Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.

[CountValentine]

When the President was admitted to the hospital with covid he called RMM for a blessing, he takes these things to heart, [unlike Cuomo]

RIPLEY’S BELIEVE IT OR NOT!
ROFL

[Kobe Bryant]

[ilherman]

You asked for it. 
@ilherman

Hey @CountValentine

Sorry for catching up so late. Was busy for the past couple of weeks.

But yes I'm glad to bet $250 to the charity of your choice and vv that Trump wins.

I'll be honest, I was very concerned until recently (and I still am to a degree) but as I will explain, if you look at the data and read in between the lines you will see that Trump has a very good chance.

Let's start with Florida. Reliable polls have Biden up by about 5 points. We know that Florida is going to Trump at this point. (I'll explain soon why - but even Dems on the ground kinda agree). Now, let's just assume that PA where the polls have Biden up with about 5 points turns in fact out to fall in Trumps court (in this case AZ or WI will likely follow) then he is on track to 270 quite easily.


Back to Florida for a minute. You can do your own research but if you follow social media and browse through accounts from people who know Florida well you would know that they were saying all along that in order for Biden to have a shot in Florida he will have to come in to election day with a 200k lead in early vote totals. The Dems were optimistic a week ago when they had a 400k lead. However when in person early voting started their lead kept on narrowing. It's currently at 90k. Way behind where they have to be. For some context, in 2016 the Dems were leading with 100k votes going in to election day and we know that Clinton lost Florida. All these numbers are obviously not actual votes for candidates but rather how many registered Dems have voted VS Republicans. But it gives you an idea.

[CountValentine]

Hey @CountValentine

There is no clause for charity of your choose and betting closed weeks ago. 

[PlatinumGuy]

Florida is different. Clinton had a very strong apparatus on the ground in Florida. Biden has that now in Texas but not in FL.

[ilherman]

There is no clause for charity of your choose and betting closed weeks ago.

I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.

Florida is different. Clinton had a very strong apparatus on the ground in Florida. Biden has that now in Texas but not in FL.

Ya. And with that all she lost. I agree with you about TX and I think while Trump will end up winning it it will be much closer than people think. There is a good chance that by 2024 TX will be blue. And if that will be the case than the Rs can probably so good bye to the white house / 270..

[CountValentine]

I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.

I have no idea who is going to win. If you are willing to bet straight up (I wouldn't) I will take what ever one or anyone else wants to bet.

[PlatinumGuy]

I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.
Ya. And with that all she lost. I agree with you about TX and I think while Trump will end up winning it it will be much closer than people think. There is a good chance that by 2024 TX will be blue. And if that will be the case than the Rs can probably so good bye to the white house / 270..

If Biden wins now the Republican Party will never be the same again. The spectrum of winnable views is moving left.

[CountValentine]

Thank you for all playing.
The CM/CV commission has determined Biden has won.
It has been certified by @jj1000
You have 24 hrs to pay up.

[Ergel]

And you wonder why no one wanted to take your bet?

[CountValentine]

I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!

@mercaz1
@username
@S209

[S209]

I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!

@mercaz1
@username
@S209

That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of R’ Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And I’ll match the $100 if that’s the charity chosen.

[CountValentine]

That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of R’ Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And I’ll match the $100 if that’s the charity chosen.

Now that is a real PUOSU. You D'man!!!

[mochjas]

So can we finally admit that the polls are FAKE?

[CountValentine]

So can we finally admit that the polls are FAKE?

Have you lost your mind? If Biden wins they were correct!!! 

[username]

That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of R’ Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And I’ll match the $100 if that’s the charity chosen.

I can agree to designate that charity fund.

[CountValentine]

I can agree to designate that charity fund if Mr. Biden wins.

@username we call off the bet

I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!

[AsherO]

@username we call off the bet

He might have understood you correctly the first time and isn’t ready to go there.

[username]

OK, since you called off the bet, I amended my post.

[zh cohen]

Have you lost your mind? If Biden wins they were correct!!! 

Nope. Regardless of how who wins, the polls were off by historic margins