Topic Wiki

$1 @mercaz1
$1 @username
$1 @S209
Milts for lunch @mmgfarb

Author Topic: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.  (Read 49296 times)

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #260 on: October 25, 2020, 08:18:00 PM »
When the President was admitted to the hospital with covid he called RMM for a blessing, he takes these things to heart, [unlike Cuomo]
RIPLEYíS BELIEVE IT OR NOT!
ROFL
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline Kobe Bryant

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jan 2017
  • Posts: 4069
  • Total likes: 2349
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 20
    • View Profile
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #261 on: October 25, 2020, 08:27:21 PM »

Offline ilherman

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jun 2013
  • Posts: 8964
  • Total likes: 249
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 35
    • View Profile
  • Location: Brooklyn
Re: Taking all bets on 2020 Election.
« Reply #262 on: October 31, 2020, 10:52:23 PM »
You asked for it.  :P
@ilherman
Hey @CountValentine

Sorry for catching up so late. Was busy for the past couple of weeks.

But yes I'm glad to bet $250 to the charity of your choice and vv that Trump wins.

I'll be honest, I was very concerned until recently (and I still am to a degree) but as I will explain, if you look at the data and read in between the lines you will see that Trump has a very good chance.

Let's start with Florida. Reliable polls have Biden up by about 5 points. We know that Florida is going to Trump at this point. (I'll explain soon why - but even Dems on the ground kinda agree). Now, let's just assume that PA where the polls have Biden up with about 5 points turns in fact out to fall in Trumps court (in this case AZ or WI will likely follow) then he is on track to 270 quite easily.


Back to Florida for a minute. You can do your own research but if you follow social media and browse through accounts from people who know Florida well you would know that they were saying all along that in order for Biden to have a shot in Florida he will have to come in to election day with a 200k lead in early vote totals. The Dems were optimistic a week ago when they had a 400k lead. However when in person early voting started their lead kept on narrowing. It's currently at 90k. Way behind where they have to be. For some context, in 2016 the Dems were leading with 100k votes going in to election day and we know that Clinton lost Florida. All these numbers are obviously not actual votes for candidates but rather how many registered Dems have voted VS Republicans. But it gives you an idea.
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on 2020 Election.
« Reply #263 on: October 31, 2020, 10:57:47 PM »
Hey @CountValentine
There is no clause for charity of your choose and betting closed weeks ago. 
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline PlatinumGuy

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Apr 2011
  • Posts: 15141
  • Total likes: 2462
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 11
    • View Profile
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #264 on: October 31, 2020, 10:58:47 PM »
Florida is different. Clinton had a very strong apparatus on the ground in Florida. Biden has that now in Texas but not in FL.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר Ė יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline ilherman

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jun 2013
  • Posts: 8964
  • Total likes: 249
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 35
    • View Profile
  • Location: Brooklyn
Re: Taking all bets on 2020 Election.
« Reply #265 on: October 31, 2020, 11:09:55 PM »
There is no clause for charity of your choose and betting closed weeks ago.
I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.

Florida is different. Clinton had a very strong apparatus on the ground in Florida. Biden has that now in Texas but not in FL.
Ya. And with that all she lost. I agree with you about TX and I think while Trump will end up winning it it will be much closer than people think. There is a good chance that by 2024 TX will be blue. And if that will be the case than the Rs can probably so good bye to the white house / 270..
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on 2020 Election.
« Reply #266 on: October 31, 2020, 11:13:15 PM »
I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.
I have no idea who is going to win. If you are willing to bet straight up (I wouldn't) I will take what ever one or anyone else wants to bet.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline PlatinumGuy

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Apr 2011
  • Posts: 15141
  • Total likes: 2462
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 11
    • View Profile
Re: Taking all bets on 2020 Election.
« Reply #267 on: October 31, 2020, 11:14:26 PM »
I'm not forcing you to take the bet. Just trying to see if you're willing to put $$ up.
Ya. And with that all she lost. I agree with you about TX and I think while Trump will end up winning it it will be much closer than people think. There is a good chance that by 2024 TX will be blue. And if that will be the case than the Rs can probably so good bye to the white house / 270..
If Biden wins now the Republican Party will never be the same again. The spectrum of winnable views is moving left.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר Ė יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #268 on: November 04, 2020, 08:39:00 AM »
Thank you for all playing.
The CM/CV commission has determined Biden has won.
It has been certified by @jj1000
You have 24 hrs to pay up.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline Ergel

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 13080
  • Total likes: 915
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 3
    • View Profile
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #269 on: November 04, 2020, 08:49:26 AM »
And you wonder why no one wanted to take your bet?
Life isn't about checking the boxes. Nobody cares.

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #270 on: November 04, 2020, 09:02:03 AM »
I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!

@mercaz1
@username
@S209
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline S209

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jun 2016
  • Posts: 7584
  • Total likes: 4037
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
    • Gowns By Shevy
  • Location: Lakewood
  • Programs: Marriott Gold, Star Alliance Gold, Hyatt Explorist, Hertz PC, National EE, Rock Royalty Wild Card, Wyndham Diamond, MLife Gold, Caesars Diamond, Hilton Diamond, Uber VIP, IHG Platinum Elite, ANA Platinum, DDF Lifetime Prez Platinum Elite, AmEx Platinum
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #271 on: November 04, 2020, 09:04:37 AM »
I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!

@mercaz1
@username
@S209
That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of Rí Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And Iíll match the $100 if thatís the charity chosen.
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #272 on: November 04, 2020, 09:05:51 AM »
That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of Rí Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And Iíll match the $100 if thatís the charity chosen.
Now that is a real PUOSU. You D'man!!!
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline mochjas

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Oct 2015
  • Posts: 9778
  • Total likes: 1093
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 124
    • View Profile
  • Programs: Hyatt Globalist, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium Elite, AA EX PLAT, Jetblue Mosaic, Qatar Gold, United Silver
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #273 on: November 04, 2020, 09:09:56 AM »
So can we finally admit that the polls are FAKE?

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #274 on: November 04, 2020, 09:10:51 AM »
So can we finally admit that the polls are FAKE?
Have you lost your mind? If Biden wins they were correct!!!  :P
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline username

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jul 2008
  • Posts: 4696
  • Total likes: 642
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 16
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: C Heights
  • Programs: ┌──────────────────┐ │───> Ữ₴ΣЯИΛΜӘ <─── │ └──────────────────┘
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #275 on: November 04, 2020, 09:32:40 AM »
That is very generous of you.

I nominate the fund for the family of Rí Waldman who passed away a little less than 2 weeks ago with single children at home. And Iíll match the $100 if thatís the charity chosen.
I can agree to designate that charity fund.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2020, 09:50:22 AM by username »
^^^

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 17350
  • Total likes: 7905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #276 on: November 04, 2020, 09:36:58 AM »
I can agree to designate that charity fund if Mr. Biden wins.
@username we call off the bet
I have said from the beginning this was never about the money. I have an offer you should all not turn down. We will call off the bets. In return if the three of you can agree on one charity I will donate $100 to it. This is how you PUOSU!!!
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half
Dow Jones Industrial Average Tops 40000 for the First Time

Offline AsherO

  • Global Moderator
  • Dansdeals Lifetime 25K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • **********
  • Join Date: May 2008
  • Posts: 31367
  • Total likes: 8275
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 79
    • View Profile
  • Location: NYC
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #277 on: November 04, 2020, 09:38:46 AM »
@username we call off the bet

He might have understood you correctly the first time and isnít ready to go there.
DDF FFB (Forum From Birth)

Offline username

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jul 2008
  • Posts: 4696
  • Total likes: 642
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 16
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: C Heights
  • Programs: ┌──────────────────┐ │───> Ữ₴ΣЯИΛΜӘ <─── │ └──────────────────┘
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #278 on: November 04, 2020, 09:51:00 AM »
OK, since you called off the bet, I amended my post.

Online zh cohen

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Dec 2013
  • Posts: 1739
  • Total likes: 1776
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: 412
Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #279 on: November 04, 2020, 10:12:55 AM »
Have you lost your mind? If Biden wins they were correct!!!  :P

Nope. Regardless of how who wins, the polls were off by historic margins