Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.

[yuneeq]

From the horses mouth
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/524478-frank-luntz-polling-profession-done-after-election-misses-devastating-to-my

[Lurker]

From the horses mouth
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/524478-frank-luntz-polling-profession-done-after-election-misses-devastating-to-my

From the article: Univision was off by 55 points on the Cuban voters. How is that possible? There's being bad at your job, there's being a disgrace to your job, there's not doing your job at all, and then there's this.

[CountValentine]

From the article: Univision was off by 55 points on the Cuban voters. How is that possible? There's being bad at your job, there's being a disgrace to your job, there's not doing your job at all, and then there's this.

There was massive fraud in the Cuban areas that easily explains this and you know it.

[Ergel]

There was massive fraud in the Cuban areas that easily explains this and you know it.

Where is twitter censorhip when you need it

[CountValentine]

Where is twitter censorhip when you need it

Do they censor /s?

[yuneeq]

There was massive fraud in the Cuban areas that easily explains this and you know it.

Link?

[zh cohen]

Do they censor /s?

Yes

[CountValentine]

Link?

See post above yours.

[yuneeq]

See post above yours.

I already did. Have no idea what fraud you're talking about.

[CountValentine]

I already did. Have no idea what fraud you're talking about.

You miss the "/s"? It was sarcasm.
AKA: Trump BS

[CountValentine]

PM me your Zelle or PP email address and I will send the $100. You can make the donation.
I want to put a fork in this one as I have another one to start. 
@S209

[Mordyk]

PM me your Zelle or PP email address and I will send the $100. You can make the donation.
I want to put a fork in this one as I have another one to start. 
@S209

would be kinda funny if this turns back to Trump

[ilherman]

RCP Florida average gave Biden 47.8% - exactly on mark. WI 50.5% - exactly on mark.

National is full of surprises, the blue states do a very poor job of counting absentee ballots, Biden may still have a large lead.

You have to distinguish between the data in the polls which is remarkably accurate and the interpretation

Weren't you the guy poking fun of the RCP average and saying that they are full of garbage pollsters showing fake pro Trump polls, and you have to look at the 538 average?

[CountValentine]

would be kinda funny if this turns back to Trump

Why? Isn't $100 to charity better than $1 in your pocket?

[PlatinumGuy]

Weren't you the guy poking fun of the RCP average and saying that they are full of garbage pollsters showing fake pro Trump polls, and you have to look at the 538 average?

I never advocated the 538 average, but yes I think RCP manipulated his average pro Trump. It was a smart move in retrospect but not supported by any data or evidence.

[zh cohen]

I think RCP manipulated his average pro Trump. It was a smart move in retrospect but not supported by any data or evidence.

The level of Kool Aid required to defend the polls today is probably a controlled substance (even in OR)...

[Yo ssi]

The level of Kool Aid required to defend the polls today is probably a controlled substance (even in OR)...

PM @CV to get it shipped

[aygart]

I never advocated the 538 average, but yes I think RCP manipulated his average pro Trump. It was a smart move in retrospect but not supported by any data or evidence.

So if a manipulated poll was needed to make the averages right then what does that say about the unanticipated ones.
You are not thinking these things through logically at all. Must be tired.

[PlatinumGuy]

So if a manipulated poll was needed to make the averages right then what does that say about the unanticipated ones.

Making the Biden/Trump gap larger wouldn't necessarily make them less correct if they reported a large percent of undecideds instead. I agree it looks bad, but it has to be studied on it's merits

[aygart]

Making the Biden/Trump gap larger wouldn't necessarily make them less correct if they reported a large percent of undecideds instead. I agree it looks bad, but it has to be studied on it's merits

Yet you are studying them on your biases