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Author Topic: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.  (Read 44243 times)

Offline yuneeq

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #320 on: November 04, 2020, 07:59:43 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 04, 2020, 07:24:36 PM
Making the Biden/Trump gap larger wouldn't necessarily make them less correct if they reported a large percent of undecideds instead. I agree it looks bad, but it has to be studied on it's merits

There's more to a poll than just a number for each candidate. Look at how they got to their numbers and compare it to how that demographic actually voted and you will see they were majorly wrong. For example FL Cubans +55 above.

Yet we should all disavow the partisan republican polls despite underestimating Trump, while the extremely unbiased MSM pollsters that were off by 5-15 points must be explained by the 3% undecideds.
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #321 on: November 04, 2020, 08:14:57 PM »
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Offline S209

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #322 on: November 04, 2020, 08:15:16 PM »
Quote from: CountValentine on November 04, 2020, 05:30:54 PM
PM me your Zelle or PP email address and I will send the $100. You can make the donation.
I want to put a fork in this one as I have another one to start.  :)
@S209
PMed, thanks. What’s next? I want in!
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Offline Mordyk

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #323 on: November 04, 2020, 08:19:49 PM »
Quote from: S209 on November 04, 2020, 08:15:16 PM
PMed, thanks. What’s next? I want in!
If Trump actually ends up winning i double the donation  ;D
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #324 on: November 04, 2020, 08:24:07 PM »
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Offline S209

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #325 on: November 04, 2020, 08:29:15 PM »
Quote from: Mordyk on November 04, 2020, 08:19:49 PM
If Trump actually ends up winning i double the donation  ;D
Noted. To 200 or 400?
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Offline S209

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #326 on: November 04, 2020, 08:30:34 PM »
Quote from: yuneeq on November 04, 2020, 08:14:57 PM
https://twitter.com/ComfortablySmug/status/1324050202165186563
By percentage or by total numbers? Numbers were close to records across the board, no?
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Offline Lurker

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #327 on: November 04, 2020, 08:31:40 PM »
Quote from: S209 on November 04, 2020, 08:30:34 PM
By percentage or by total numbers? Numbers were close to records across the board, no?

I believe both. The Hispanic/Cuban vote alone is a huge chunk of that.
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #328 on: November 04, 2020, 08:38:57 PM »
Quote from: CountValentine on November 04, 2020, 08:24:07 PM
The best conman I have seen!

Can’t be that good if he couldn’t fool the racists to keep voting for him. Lost 5 points from the white vote.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #329 on: November 04, 2020, 08:39:55 PM »
Quote from: yuneeq on November 04, 2020, 08:38:57 PM
Can’t be that good if he couldn’t fool the racists to keep voting for him. Lost 5 points from the white vote.
Were they from the educated or uneducated?  :)
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Offline Kobe Bryant

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #330 on: November 04, 2020, 08:44:17 PM »
Quote from: Mordyk on November 04, 2020, 08:19:49 PM
If Trump actually ends up winning i double the donation  ;D

I will match bl"n up to 1K.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #331 on: November 04, 2020, 08:48:47 PM »
So it took almost two years but we are now there. Everyone is PU!!!
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Offline Dan

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #332 on: November 06, 2020, 11:32:20 AM »
Quote from: yuneeq on October 23, 2020, 02:10:00 AM
So tell me - which way will OH vote? The Cookies have already spoken.
Quote from: Dan on October 23, 2020, 02:12:57 AM
I think OH votes for Trump and Biden wins nationally, breaking the 14 win streak. OH has been shifting right while the country has been shifting left.
Bur more critically, no R has ever won without OH.
Should have bet the parlay.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #333 on: November 06, 2020, 11:39:35 AM »
Quote from: Dan on November 06, 2020, 11:32:20 AM
Should have bet the parlay.
I am guessing 6 or 8 to 1.  :)
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Offline Dan

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #334 on: November 06, 2020, 11:44:27 AM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on October 23, 2020, 02:17:10 AM
I agree. I think Trump is likely to win FL & OH but it’s 50:50
Reading too much Nate Silver ;)
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Offline Dan

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #335 on: November 06, 2020, 11:44:35 AM »
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #336 on: November 06, 2020, 11:47:23 AM »
Quote from: Dan on November 06, 2020, 11:44:27 AM
Reading too much Nate Silver ;)
Lol tell me about it. I actually believe he was dishonest and skewed his numbers pro Trump without data to support it, but it paid off.
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Offline username

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #337 on: November 06, 2020, 11:48:28 AM »
@CountValentine Even though you called off the bet, I will be a mench (gentleman) and honor my agreement. $1 to you, please PM details. Alternatively, $36 donation to charity.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #338 on: November 06, 2020, 11:50:51 AM »
Quote from: username on November 06, 2020, 11:48:28 AM
@CountValentine Even though you called off the bet, I will be a mench (gentleman) and honor my agreement. $1 to you, please PM details. Alternatively, $36 donation to charity.
Not necessary but nice of you. Consider my $1 part of your $36 donation.
After all this it is the charities that are the winners as it should be.
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Offline username

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Re: Taking all bets on Trump winning 2020 Election.
« Reply #339 on: November 06, 2020, 12:42:38 PM »
You can pick the charity.
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