Nothing like staying up late before a fast for another wonky Marriott post.
Anyone brave enough to read through it and provide feedback?
https://www.dansdeals.com/points-travel/milespoints/another-guess-will-happen-certificates-marriotts-lucrative-milesnights-travel-packages-take-advantage-now/
"This is a highly technical, advanced level post, but in it I will show you how it’s possible to get crazy values out of Marriott’s current travel packages."Should be value instead of values (and you need a comma after "it".)
"In August, Marriott will massively devalue their lucrative miles+nights travel packages. That was one of the predictions I made in April, but it still stings bigly."Bigly?
"Thanks to the 5th night being free, the total value of that certificate is 150K points"Should say "Thanks to the 5th night always being free on a regular award booking, the value of the cert is only 150k, not 175k" or something like that.
"I think that it’s likely that for many categories, the current certificates in August will simply be worth the same amount of points they are today."Drop the first "that" in the sentence. Also, I would change the sentence to "the current certificates will be worth the same in August as they are today" the way it reads right now it's hard to tell what you mean.
"Off the top of my head some of these make the most sense, such as the value for the current category 5 certificates."This makes no sense, what exactly are you referring to?
"Off the top of my head some of these make the most sense, such as the value for the current category 5 certificates."
"Off the top of my head, some of these make the most sense, such as the value for the current category 9, tier 3, and tier 5 certificates at more comparable levels."[/b]
Again, I'm not sure exactly what you're referring to. What is making sense for who?
I also don't think it makes sense to call scenario 3
"Probable best case in new program" as IMO it's the least likely scenario. Maybe call it "Possible best case" or something like that.
"In scenario 2, the tier 1-3 and their 4-5 certificates start to perform better. "Should be "tier 4-5"
"For their 1-3 the nights would be worth the full value paid, so the 132K miles have no assignable cost in this scenario, making them essentially free."Again, change "their 1-3" to "tier 1-3"
I would add a warning at the end that you may not actually end up being able to book hotels like the St. Regis MLE at that price since there are things they can do to prevent it. There is also going to be major competition for the nights that do become available and it's entirely possible that you won't find 7 consecutive nights at hotels like that, making the cert unusuable as you need to book 7 straight days. Just MHO but it would suck for someone to redeem for a cert banking on being able to book something and then it not being available, it's a risk.
Overall, a pretty good post, I'm not going to even try to correct most commas and stuff like that because I have no patience and it's 3 in the morning