As for your weather analogy, I hope you do realize the flaws. In case you don't, it's akin to a community that was hit by a hurricane, some structures succumbed, most survived fully in tact, yet the "experts" are putting mandatory vacate orders in place on all structures, when they have no evidence that another storm is coming (and it seems to most observers that most structures are strong enough to withstand a hurricane even IF one were to come).
All analogies are imperfect. There are some issues with your interpretation of this one, though. First of all, you're assuming the storm has passed and you're talking about another storm. By all accounts, this storm has not passed. It may not be in your neighborhood at this exact moment, but it is still going strong. Second, no one is asking anyone to evacuate, just continue to take precautions. Third, it's deeper than the superficial "some structures succumbed, most survived fully intact" analogy that you posit. People have died. People have been injured. While most houses remain intact and structurally sound, there have been others which sustained damage in the many degrees between whole and gone. Just because you think your house is sound, and you may have very good reason to believe so, there are no guarantees there. Furthermore, even if your home is sound, that says nothing about your shul, your business, your neighbor's home or business, or your community's infrastructure.
As an aside, I believe you're making the mistake I see time and again from people in the NY/NJ area, which is lumping doctors and government together when talking about "authorities." I get that your government has been excessively harsh in their approach, but that has nothing to do with following medical advice.