Author Topic: 2020 Voter Turnout  (Read 30954 times)

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #81 on: October 28, 2020, 01:18:45 PM »
My experience in previous elections has been that paying too much attention to these micro numbers is really a waste of time.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #82 on: October 28, 2020, 02:04:13 PM »
I’m getting more and more convinced Election Day turnout will be underwhelming. The super enthusiastic people will vote early. When push comes to shove, there will be unusually long line because of Covid + people will be more concerned about Covid exposure than they’re admitting now + undecided may stay that way with 2 really bad candidates
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline BP16

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #83 on: October 28, 2020, 02:12:55 PM »
I’m getting more and more convinced Election Day turnout will be underwhelming. The super enthusiastic people will vote early. When push comes to shove, there will be unusually long line because of Covid + people will be more concerned about Covid exposure than they’re admitting now + undecided may stay that way with 2 really bad candidates
May not be that long lines if lots of people are voting early. And those Trump supporters who went to his rally worth 20k+ are not worried about Covid exposure. 

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #84 on: October 28, 2020, 02:26:28 PM »
May not be that long lines if lots of people are voting early. And those Trump supporters who went to his rally worth 20k+ are not worried about Covid exposure.
The rally goers must be excited enough to vote already now (except in states without in person early voting). A lot them are likely going to know people who caught Covid recently and therefore take it more seriously, they are mostly older and probably more overweight too.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Lurker

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #85 on: October 28, 2020, 02:31:25 PM »
The rally goers must be excited enough to vote already now (except in states without in person early voting). A lot them are likely going to know people who caught Covid recently and therefore take it more seriously, they are mostly older and probably more overweight too.

I think I'm reading this wrong. Did you just say that people who go to Trump rallies are mostly older and probably overweight?
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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #86 on: October 28, 2020, 02:34:07 PM »
I think I'm reading this wrong. Did you just say that people who go to Trump rallies are mostly older and probably overweight?
#woke
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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #87 on: October 28, 2020, 02:38:41 PM »
I think I'm reading this wrong. Did you just say that people who go to Trump rallies are mostly older and probably overweight?
Yeah, not very PC. It’s well established that young voters are much more likely to vote D, and I’m guessing the American obesity problem is more prevalent in rally going communities that ignore Covid public health recommendations, drive their pickups to the drive-in McDonalds, than the urban, collage-educated, cosmopolitan, vegan, & yoga Democrats.

As a proxy, I believe it’s well established White Americans are more obese than blacks & Hispanics. Of course obesity is almost non existent in Asian Americans
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Chapshnell

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #88 on: October 28, 2020, 02:43:03 PM »
Yeah, not very PC. It’s well established that young voters are much more likely to vote D, and I’m guessing the American obesity problem is more prevalent in rally going communities that ignore Covid public health recommendations, drive their pickups to the drive-in McDonalds, than the urban, collage-educated, cosmopolitan, vegan, & yoga Democrats.

As a proxy, I believe it’s well established White Americans are more obese than blacks & Hispanics. Of course obesity is almost non existent in Asian Americans

White Americans are more obese than blacks

LOL. K

Offline avromie7

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #89 on: October 28, 2020, 02:44:21 PM »
I thought only Trump supporters are kool aid drinkers.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #90 on: October 28, 2020, 02:45:38 PM »
I thought only Trump supporters are kool aid drinkers.
Nothing less than cannabis for the Dems. :)
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #91 on: October 28, 2020, 02:46:47 PM »
White Americans are more obese than blacks

LOL. K
I was wrong on that one, you’re right. Blacks are 1.3x more obese than Whites
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline BP16

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #92 on: October 28, 2020, 02:47:59 PM »
I was wrong on that one, you’re right. Blacks are 1.3x more obese than Whites
And that's the only thing you were wrong one? I am worried with your TDS its getting scary

Offline avromie7

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #93 on: October 28, 2020, 02:49:05 PM »
The number of incorrect assumptions and generalizations here is unbelievable.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #94 on: October 28, 2020, 02:53:26 PM »
https://stateofchildhoodobesity.org/adult-obesity/

States with 35%+ obesity are all Republican (I would imagine Hawaii is an exception)
States with <30% obesity are almost all Democrat
States with 30-35% obesity are Republican And swing states.

I shouldn’t be surprised a staple of Trump supporters & Covid-ignorers is detachment from reality.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #95 on: October 28, 2020, 02:57:18 PM »
https://stateofchildhoodobesity.org/adult-obesity/

States with 35%+ obesity are all Republican (I would imagine Hawaii is an exception)
States with <30% obesity are almost all Democrat
States with 30-35% obesity are Republican And swing states.

I shouldn’t be surprised a staple of Trump supporters & Covid-ignorers is detachment from reality.
Are these as accurate as the polls were in the 2016 elections?

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #96 on: October 28, 2020, 02:58:16 PM »
https://stateofchildhoodobesity.org/adult-obesity/

States with 35%+ obesity are all Republican (I would imagine Hawaii is an exception)
States with <30% obesity are almost all Democrat
States with 30-35% obesity are Republican And swing states.

I shouldn’t be surprised a staple of Trump supporters & Covid-ignorers is detachment from reality.

The food entitlement programs are wildly successful.
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #97 on: October 28, 2020, 02:59:57 PM »
Are these as accurate as the polls were in the 2016 elections?
Is this the fallback for everything? The polls were actually VERY accurate in 2016. Hillary won the popular vote by a margin very in line with polls. Alas that does not make her president.
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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #98 on: October 28, 2020, 03:00:43 PM »
Nothing less than cannabis for the Dems. :)

I promise you cannabis is not their problem.
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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #99 on: October 28, 2020, 03:00:59 PM »
Are these as accurate as the polls were in the 2016 elections?
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