Author Topic: 2020 Voter Turnout  (Read 30953 times)

Offline yuneeq

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #120 on: October 28, 2020, 06:03:12 PM »
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1321542576504188928?s=21 Thank you

Pretty cool that Trump finally convinced college-educated whites to vote for him.
Visibly Jewish

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #121 on: October 28, 2020, 06:33:23 PM »
Pretty cool that Trump finally convinced college-educated whites to vote for him.
Even more amazing is that he managed to do that without convincing their less educated peers to do the same
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #122 on: October 28, 2020, 07:15:23 PM »
The polls were actually VERY accurate in 2016. Hillary won the popular vote by a margin very in line with polls.

This point is more relevant to those claiming (based on polls) that there is no chance Trump wins.

Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #123 on: October 28, 2020, 08:25:30 PM »
https://joeisdone.github.io/northcarolina/

Some interesting data from NC. For example Democrats have already turned out 111.51% of their 2016 early voting totals. Republicans have turned out 111.02% of their 2016 EV totals...

Offline YitzyS

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #124 on: October 28, 2020, 08:55:43 PM »
Im getting more and more convinced Election Day turnout will be underwhelming. The super enthusiastic people will vote early. When push comes to shove, there will be unusually long line because of Covid + people will be more concerned about Covid exposure than theyre admitting now + undecided may stay that way with 2 really bad candidates
This has been my opinion all along, which is why I made this prediction:
I think that Biden will win the election, but Trump will still find technicalities to bring to court, and the court will rule against him.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #125 on: October 28, 2020, 09:01:14 PM »
This has been my opinion all along, which is why I made this prediction:
The court has a very narrow spectrum of decisions. Its likely to be way more decisive.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline good sam

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #128 on: October 28, 2020, 10:31:40 PM »
Im far from 100% certain that Biden will win Texas, though I think he will
Are you 100% certain that Biden will win the election?
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #129 on: October 28, 2020, 10:37:53 PM »
Are you 100% certain that Biden will win the election?
99%
As sure as I am that there will be a Covid vaccine
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline avromie7

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #130 on: October 29, 2020, 11:41:28 AM »
Update -
NC - 40D-30R
PA - 69D-21R
FL - 42D-37R
Update -
NC - 39D-31R
PA - 68D-22R
FL - 41D-38R
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline YitzyS

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #131 on: October 29, 2020, 11:56:36 AM »
Update -
NC - 39D-31R
PA - 68D-22R
FL - 41D-38R
If we keep these numbers up, the Trump will win in 2024.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #132 on: October 29, 2020, 12:14:30 PM »
If we keep these numbers up, the Trump will win in 2024.
Very possible IMO
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline BP16

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #133 on: October 29, 2020, 12:29:57 PM »
If we keep these numbers up, the Trump will win in 2024.
I think the Ds need a huge or very large advantage with early voting to really win a swing states because Rs will come in large #s on election day.

Offline biobook

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #134 on: October 29, 2020, 12:58:21 PM »
Does this refer to votes received from registered D/R, or votes for the D/R candidate?   That is, does it indicate Ds who vote Trump and Rs who vote Biden? 

Offline BP16

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #135 on: October 29, 2020, 01:02:33 PM »
Does this refer to votes received from registered D/R, or votes for the D/R candidate?   That is, does it indicate Ds who vote Trump and Rs who vote Biden?
This is just registered votes, for whom will come when polls close

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #136 on: October 29, 2020, 01:13:11 PM »
That is, does it indicate Ds who vote Trump and Rs who vote Biden?
No. There is also a theory that D voters are less likely to register than R.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline avromie7

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #137 on: October 29, 2020, 01:15:39 PM »
I think the Ds need a huge or very large advantage with early voting to really win a swing states because Rs will come in large #s on election day.
If you look at each of these 3 states they really don't have that.

PA is only releasing mail in data, not in person early voting. It's currently around 25% of the 2016 turnout, so even this huge D lead is pretty meaningless.

In FL, as mail in makes up a smaller percentage of ballots cast, the D lead continues to shrink.

The SC numbers disappeared, so I can't look back at it now.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline avromie7

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #138 on: October 29, 2020, 01:16:40 PM »
No. There is also a theory that D voters are less likely to register than R.
Source for that theory? I've never seen evidence to indicate either way.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline KSMH

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Re: 2020 Voter Turnout
« Reply #139 on: October 29, 2020, 01:24:36 PM »
If you look at each of these 3 states they really don't have that.

PA is only releasing mail in data, not in person early voting. It's currently around 25% of the 2016 turnout, so even this huge D lead is pretty meaningless.

In FL, as mail in makes up a smaller percentage of ballots cast, the D lead continues to shrink.

The SC numbers disappeared, so I can't look back at it now.

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321860342507479041

Overall Rs doing great in FL.

I would be in no surprise if the big T wins overall.

I think this tweet below highlights what many are missing.

https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1321854398503464960?s=20
Always praying for delayed baggage.