Will We Know The Presidential Election Results By Nov 4th

[CountValentine]

See my signature

Still double talk.

[yelped]

You two are a great pair.

[aygart]

Still double talk.

So be it

[PlatinumGuy]

I won't deny predicting 400 EC seats was motivated by bias. But predicting a win is accurate without bias.

RCP Florida average has Biden at 47.8%. He got 48%. The polls were right.

[CountValentine]

So be it

Exactly!

[zh cohen]

RCP Florida average has Biden at 47.8%. He got 48%. The polls were right.

If the polls were right, then polls are meaningless.

[PlatinumGuy]

If the polls were right, then polls are meaningless.

Maybe in Florida for the bottom line, but they did identify the trends correctly. Democrats knew in advance their problem was with Cubans in Miami.

[PlatinumGuy]

NC at a tie with 85% counted & accepting mail in ballots until Nov 12... this can take a while

[AsherO]

NC at a tie with 85% counted & accepting mail in ballots until Nov 12... this can take a while

So what’s your odds on a Trump victory now? Are we at 20% yet?

[CountValentine]

So what’s your odds on a Trump victory now? Are we at 20% yet?

Not nice to gloat.

[chinagel]

Not nice to gloat.

You know the feeling?

[CountValentine]

You know the feeling?

No I don't gloat.

[AsherO]

Not nice to gloat.

Too early to gloat, he posted that there’s a chance NC will be the cliffhanger, which sounds to me like more than 10%. It was a serious question.

[CountValentine]

Too early to gloat, he posted that there’s a chance NC will be the cliffhanger, which sounds to me like more than 10%. It was a serious question.

I think we both know he is over 10%.

[drosenberg88429]

We knew all along that if Biden won we would know within 12 hours, while it would take a while to know if Trump won. This had nothing to do with media bias. It was simply a function of how many more almost guaranteed blue EC votes Biden started off with vs Trump's much smaller starting pool.

[PlatinumGuy]

Are we at 20% yet?

Probably but barely. Information coming in too quickly to weigh against the bias. Yes Trump is doing better than expected, but we also know he isn't don't too much better. Texas margin is historically low, NH margin is 8% more than Clinton. A Biden win in AZ is more sure than it was before, and PA looks good when you see suburban data in OH

[PlatinumGuy]

NC at a tie with 85% counted & accepting mail in ballots until Nov 12... this can take a while

Not sure how reliable but seeing reports missing ballots are mostly in urban areas... If true I'm still at 10%...

[CountValentine]

Probably but barely. Information coming in too quickly to weigh against the bias. Yes Trump is doing better than expected, but we also know he isn't don't too much better. Texas margin is historically low, NH margin is 8% more than Clinton. A Biden win in AZ is more sure than it was before, and PA looks good when you see suburban data in OH

So all comes down to PA?

[Kobe Bryant]

So all comes down to PA?

Depends  on AZ.

[PlatinumGuy]

So all comes down to PA?

Trump may win PA bc of the campaigns and fracking, Biden still wins with AZ/MI/WI. There's still NC/OH/IA.

There is wisdom of the masses at the betting but we know they're reacting to misleading data.