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Author Topic: 2022 Midterm Elections  (Read 59840 times)

Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #740 on: November 14, 2022, 10:04:07 PM »
Quote from: jj1000 on November 14, 2022, 10:01:03 PM
Long gone are the times of Ohio representing the thoughts of nation.
The point is the split tickets.
Is GA a better example?


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Offline yitzgar

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #741 on: November 14, 2022, 10:04:36 PM »
Quote from: Dan on November 14, 2022, 09:55:50 PM
Like in OH?
Just a few split tickets with the main difference between MAGA or not...




Dewine is very popular among Democrats because of his handling of coronavirus especially in the beginning with basically giving over control to the health secretary I forgot her name. (He was also an incumbent)
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Offline jj1000

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #742 on: November 14, 2022, 10:15:57 PM »
Quote from: Dan on November 14, 2022, 10:04:07 PM
The point is the split tickets.
Is GA a better example?



Aha. Missed it.

Definitely a combination.
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Offline skyguy918

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #743 on: November 14, 2022, 10:31:23 PM »
Quote from: yitzgar on November 14, 2022, 10:04:36 PM
(He was also an incumbent)
This. Only 1 of the 28 incumbents up for reelection lost (NV).
Quote from: CountValentine on November 14, 2022, 09:24:33 PM
Is anyone paying attention to how many states have D's for Govenor?
NV was the only R flip, with MA, MD, and AZ flipping to D. Split goes from 28/22 R to 26/24 R.
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Offline yelped

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #744 on: November 14, 2022, 11:45:40 PM »
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #745 on: November 14, 2022, 11:52:02 PM »
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Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #746 on: November 15, 2022, 12:23:37 AM »
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #747 on: November 15, 2022, 08:09:06 AM »
Quote from: Dan on November 14, 2022, 09:55:50 PM
Like in OH?
Just a few split tickets with the main difference between MAGA or not...





Didn't DeWine just sign a ban on abortion from 6 weeks? Or is that your point?
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Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #748 on: November 15, 2022, 08:24:08 AM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 15, 2022, 08:09:06 AM
Didn't DeWine just sign a ban on abortion from 6 weeks? Or is that your point?
That's my point. This isn't about abortion. This is MAGA failing to resonate among Independents.
Vance only won thanks to insane spending to defend a red state. Other MAGA house candidates didn't win where they should have.
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Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #749 on: November 15, 2022, 09:02:56 AM »
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #750 on: November 15, 2022, 09:44:58 AM »
Quote from: Dan on November 15, 2022, 08:24:08 AM
That's my point. This isn't about abortion. This is MAGA failing to resonate among Independents.
Vance only won thanks to insane spending to defend a red state. Other MAGA house candidates didn't win where they should have.

I'll point out that Vance's margin was higher than DeWine's 2018 (when he wasn't an incumbent with a record of doing a good job running the state) margin.

My (untested) theory is that MAGA candidates don't do well when all they talk about is Trump. I consider talking about the 2020 results as talking about Trunp.

Zeldin is a good example of this. By every definition he is a MAGA guy, but he ran on what mattered to people in NY, and massively over performed.
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Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #751 on: November 15, 2022, 09:56:52 AM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 15, 2022, 09:44:58 AM
I'll point out that Vance's margin was higher than DeWine's 2018 (when he wasn't an incumbent with a record of doing a good job running the state) margin.
2018 was a blue wave year. Just look at OH Senate.
I doubt Brown keeps that seat in 2024, but probably depends on the presidential candidates.

Quote from: zh cohen on November 15, 2022, 09:44:58 AM
My (untested) theory is that MAGA candidates don't do well when all they talk about is Trump. I consider talking about the 2020 results as talking about Trunp.
I'd buy that.
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Offline jj1000

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #752 on: November 15, 2022, 10:06:09 AM »
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #753 on: November 15, 2022, 11:14:45 AM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 15, 2022, 09:44:58 AM
My (untested) theory is that MAGA candidates don't do well when all they talk about is Trump. I consider talking about the 2020 results as talking about Trunp.
MAGA = ED = Trump. Trying to convince the voter otherwise is not going to fly.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #754 on: November 15, 2022, 11:32:05 AM »
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #755 on: November 15, 2022, 11:49:01 AM »
Quote from: CountValentine on November 15, 2022, 11:14:45 AM
MAGA = ED = Trump. Trying to convince the voter otherwise is not going to fly.

So how do you explain Zeldin?
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #756 on: November 15, 2022, 11:56:23 AM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 15, 2022, 11:49:01 AM
So how do you explain Zeldin?
You look at all the races.
No one said MAGA/ED candidates could not win. There are parts of the country where that plays extremely well. It does not play well where I's make the difference.
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #757 on: November 15, 2022, 01:12:09 PM »
Quote from: CountValentine on November 15, 2022, 11:56:23 AM
There are parts of the country where that plays extremely well.

Is NY one of the places that it plays well?

Quote from: CountValentine on November 15, 2022, 11:56:23 AM
It does not play well where I's make the difference.

What percentage of the "I"s did Zeldin win?
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Offline Dan

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #758 on: November 15, 2022, 01:37:41 PM »
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: 2022 Midterm Elections
« Reply #759 on: November 15, 2022, 01:47:29 PM »
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