Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.
Trying to make some plans, when do you think it will be possible to get a Pfizer/Moderna vaccine in US/UK for somebody not on any kind of priority list but willing to pay/travel a little for it? Part of me says early Jan, part of me says April...
I'd guess somewhere in between. Dont you think by April it will be widely available without having to travel anywhere?
I think that mostly depends on what percentage of Pfizer/Moderna production gets domestic distribution. How does that get decided anyway? Any idea what their order books look like? Does it depend on how much $$ they’re getting per dose?
By the time Biden is in office I'd assume all Moderna US production goes to the US, whether they like it or not. Moderna has Swiss production as well, and Pfizer avoided the issue by basing production in Belgium which has less than 10m residents. I don't think anybody knows how many vaccines Pfizer is giving the US. That's part of why I think it may be possible to get it in London sooner than the US (the other reason is an infinitely smaller market outside of the NHS, which has already been proven to provide far superior access to Covid testing)
Idk about other places, but NYC has free and unlimited PCR testing with results within 24-48hrs every time I’ve tested.
https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1337147912824864768?s=21By far the most reliable statistician, although he isn’t a prophet about vaccine production & distribution
I am hoping we don't see a thread titled "100 doses of MRNA vaccine $5000 obo".
any talk about waiting for a vaccine is a blatant lie, as no reasonable person expects a vaccine in less than 18 months, and that's being extremely optimistic and probably not realistic
I’m not sure who you call reasonable people but a very large number of epidemiologists have said they believe there will be a mass produced vaccine by January 2021. If you’d bet on an outcome we can take this over to JS and I’d put money down on that happening.
18 MONTH UPDATE 6 MONTH UPDATE: Second vaccine now approved in the U.S., to be distributed this week. CHEMED will have them available next week in Lakewood.