Just did some more analyzing, using numbers I just downloaded from the Clerk's website.
Since election night, 881 votes were added in Lakewood, presumably reflecting newly received mail-in-ballots. This brings the turnout percentage in Lakewood up to 35.06 percent.
Ciatterelli now has 12,036 votes, just over 61 percent. Murphy now has 7,560 votes, roughly 38.3 percent. 133 voters voted for someone else, equal to just under seven-tenths of a percent.
In trying to figure out the VAAD's influence on the election, we have to filter out the votes that would've gone Democrat anyways. To determine that, I subtracted the number of votes other non-endorsed Democrats got from Murphy's total.
The highest non-endorsed Democrat vote-getter, Singer's senate opponent Dan Stinger, got 3,080 votes. The lowest non-endorsed Democrat vote-getter, County Commissioner candidate Philip Nufrio, got 2,862.
7,560-3,080=4,480
7,560-2,862=4,698
Thus, the VAAD can be credited with getting Murphy between 4,480 and 4,698.
It is also likely that the VAAD's endorsement led to suppression of Republican votes, as many stayed home because they didn't want to vote for Murphy but they also didn't want to disregard the VAAD's endorsement, so the aforementioned number does not represent the total assistance of the VAAD to Murphy's reelection, just the actual vote addition.